•
Industrialization, deforestation, and pollution have greatly
increased atmospheric concentrations of water vapor, carbon
dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide, all greenhouse gases that
help trap heat near Earth's surface. (See an interactive feature
on how global warming works.)
• Humans are pouring carbon dioxide into the atmosphere much
faster than plants and oceans can absorb it.
• These gases persist in the atmosphere for years, meaning that
even if such emissions were eliminated today, it would not
immediately stop global warming.
• Some experts point out that natural cycles in Earth's orbit
can alter the planet's exposure to sunlight, which may explain
the current trend. Earth has indeed experienced warming and
cooling cycles roughly every hundred thousand years due to these
orbital shifts, but such changes have occurred over the span of
several centuries. Today's changes have taken place over the
past hundred years or less.
• Other recent research has suggested that the effects of
variations in the sun's output are "negligible" as a factor in
warming, but other, more complicated solar mechanisms could
possibly play a role.
A follow-up report by the IPCC released in April 2007 warned
that global warming could lead to large-scale food and water
shortages and have catastrophic effects on wildlife.
• Sea level could rise between 7 and 23 inches (18 to 59
centimeters) by century's end, the IPCC's February 2007 report
projects. Rises of just 4 inches (10 centimeters) could flood
many South Seas islands and swamp large parts of Southeast Asia.
• Some hundred million people live within 3 feet (1 meter) of
mean sea level, and much of the world's population is
concentrated in vulnerable coastal cities. In the U.S.,
Louisiana and Florida are especially at risk.
• Glaciers around the world could melt, causing sea levels to
rise while creating water shortages in regions dependent on
runoff for fresh water.
• Strong hurricanes, droughts, heat waves, wildfires, and other
natural disasters may become commonplace in many parts of the
world. The growth of deserts may also cause food shortages in
many places.
• More than a million species face extinction from disappearing
habitat, changing ecosystems, and acidifying oceans.
• The ocean's circulation system, known as the ocean conveyor
belt, could be permanently altered, causing a mini-ice age in
Western Europe and other rapid changes.